Super Bowl LV betting first look: Factors that could impact the spread

  • Professional sports bettor finding advantages in inefficient markets
  • Joined ESPN in 2019
  • MS Sport Psychology, University of Utah

The Super Bowl LV market watch won’t be about early line movement. Outside of a drop in the total from 57 at some sportsbooks, nothing has ultimately fluctuated much. The point spread has been sitting in that -3 (-125) pocket across the board.

There are a few details to track as you watch the market in real time leading up to the big game, however. Whether these have any significant impact on the spread and total remains to be seen. I ranked the biggest potential market influencers to keep an eye on this week.

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-3 at -120, 56.5)

1. The serial Buccaneers morning-of bettors. I’m not sure if it is one group or multiple coming in the past two Sunday mornings when betting limits are highest, but they’ve been spot-on backing Tampa Bay in New Orleans and Green Bay.

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